Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #192724

Dynamo Abomey VS Buffles

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.42%
Draw
31.40%
Away
40.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7723
Log loss
1.2580

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
e738ee28d31da9ae4c40cb03d6a9c928617d5deedb12617f463331d5c6ee83d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →