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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192657

Tromsø II VS Skjervøy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.42%
Draw
13.85%
Away
10.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0911
Log loss
0.2821

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
ea921c3059d844e935d3a3e574a1200ce39d81b38585d636c4cc47b27244fc0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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