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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192599

Barking W VS Bromley W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.80%
Draw
21.48%
Away
32.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4470
Log loss
0.7809

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
07e48fce50d3904da40d22eca87e162e099d65e29eb76b2b80b512cc38ed9bcf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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