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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192543

Sporting Charleroi II VS Standard Liège II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.18%
Draw
26.26%
Away
39.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6587
Log loss
1.0735

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
1d31e05174d746db6f6acc99097032063f466b4a99228172dcfc91ee0d86740d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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