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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192507

Certosa V. Campagnano VS Latte Dolce

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.59%
Draw
22.58%
Away
16.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9948
Log loss
1.4881

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
1dda039216d7104d0edc1fb1e544cd3abad64f50743d2a20fcac421c4a985ce5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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