Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #192440

Sestri Levante VS Saluzzo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.64%
Draw
28.62%
Away
31.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7674
Log loss
1.2511

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
e85a9b87136b819977bfb4acc163564d9c0fae61fd515813046948aab6b80de2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →