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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192322

Eichstätt VS TSV 1860 München

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.85%
Draw
24.53%
Away
35.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6335
Log loss
1.0323

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
9742e908c2d56bba7b5bf3f3d6808fce14432c3405a0c6d8b6faaa4aaa88db0b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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