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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192312

Kroměříž II VS SK Krumvir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.93%
Draw
23.86%
Away
51.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8827
Log loss
1.3891

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
96fbae564fb7183f1116587a96b6c989c05a5d83630a7f8a3c596b56cd5d3c96

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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