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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192279

MSK Tesla Stropkov VS Snina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.14%
Draw
22.42%
Away
18.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2512
Log loss
0.5253

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
2ca2036bf507a5cf586b85a4f21c26956388aa6d20458645d1a7d211cd770071

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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