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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192172

Sanluqueño VS Las Palmas II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.61%
Draw
25.41%
Away
23.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3660
Log loss
0.6810

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
7b661771053f72430da227db2d1ed101b4915819f02039368e8816f9daa5d1ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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