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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192089

Cheonan City VS Ansan Greeners

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.79%
Draw
24.76%
Away
23.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3487
Log loss
0.6580

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
eca16f433e3df0c65642fe51ef408f57e090779d319d0d68066cb114a4bef907

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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