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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192003

Penicuik Athletic VS Clyde

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.59%
Draw
16.74%
Away
70.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2086
Log loss
1.7875

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
d8f3856327dda79029e5e4276ed9a650868b7f5c4e801aba1603069bb5722a0b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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