Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #191780

Dordoi Bishkek VS Asiagoal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.40%
Draw
22.66%
Away
23.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3258
Log loss
0.6274

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
ee6b4f001940877149b43a3906453ee5bd6e520837766d62bd18c06e66fab2dd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →