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Frozen pre-match forecast · #191709

Notch VS Flora

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.87%
Draw
20.42%
Away
15.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
SHA-256
f00012075084083ef2351a9e684b397422851508e668b531771f32a30f3be3ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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