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Frozen pre-match forecast · #191705

Moghreb Tetouan VS CODM Meknès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 20:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.43%
Draw
27.91%
Away
51.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3533
Log loss
0.6605

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 20:02 UTC
SHA-256
cc8db2baf964bf72ad92bbf3c5ffd6196a47f6123421bd4136c77ffcdaf22e6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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