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Frozen pre-match forecast · #191699

Atlántico VS Universidad O&M

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.68%
Draw
21.68%
Away
55.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2952
Log loss
0.5863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
0d40fd3f3a3f45f5451a40ac9a0f81da21f993c630348133a72f843354b0895d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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