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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19162

Mauritius U20 VS Seychelles U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:03 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.25%
Draw
34.48%
Away
31.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.7086
Log loss
1.1625

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:03 UTC
SHA-256
a2e3334cab94eb3527380347e875e47683c50d3411f30b7b8133581f939afeef

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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