Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #191606

Altrincham VS Notts County

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 18:03 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.57%
Draw
24.78%
Away
40.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 18:03 UTC
SHA-256
d5bfdbd3be5f095b8f9e2fc6b7256c0d1cf0c0e997fdb0fb6bf4d156df007094

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →