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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19118

Nacional Potosí VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.61%
Draw
33.95%
Away
29.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

9 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6038
Log loss
1.0048

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:02 UTC
SHA-256
d7c1fa9c0c980cb2854f353f67a33b3773f951a375bbb924a1180d1adc3504b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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