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Frozen pre-match forecast · #191088

Porthmadog VS Llanuwchllyn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.22%
Draw
20.07%
Away
17.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
0f4aaaff9158eff06b53ec17528182f49f6802c2392c87a66ad11abdf2a56008

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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