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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19102

Lisburn Ladies W VS Crusaders W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.14%
Draw
32.69%
Away
60.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2706
Log loss
0.5080

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:02 UTC
SHA-256
3ce892422c1e0d57092b85979aa99b3c54884127166f229d0ec3bed6bec006f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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