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Frozen pre-match forecast · #190939

Excelsior '31 VS ACV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.70%
Draw
22.37%
Away
31.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
115a68f0b611b7af7d663b5a2a94e361c87d808d319d70667e0684ef4aeb2428

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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