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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19082

Coleraine FC VS Linfield

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:01 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.37%
Draw
33.59%
Away
37.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5955
Log loss
0.9932

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:01 UTC
SHA-256
cfb01d5238f601cc8c77dd33f874e8db6723c927df177cb3897411050d254d07

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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