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Frozen pre-match forecast · #190266

CR Béni Thour VS USM Annaba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.78%
Draw
28.67%
Away
44.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4615
Log loss
0.8087

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 08:03 UTC
SHA-256
f56642596211ee1835b8cfb119cb3f3d0ffe0f530ad32fa543950b3891cb852a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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