Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #190264

ASM Oran VS Sidi Benali

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.42%
Draw
22.68%
Away
14.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0097
Log loss
1.4837

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 08:03 UTC
SHA-256
6ac79b9e808695c0916ef653334448d75dae7b28c8eb6d3333cf91d66b9a4cb7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →