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Frozen pre-match forecast · #190257

Brora Rangers VS Cowdenbeath

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.19%
Draw
13.94%
Away
9.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3309
Log loss
1.9704

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 08:03 UTC
SHA-256
a16b58d735e1d1d3bcee06acc42573159c091ee44332a9719531f51ac9acbf27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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