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Frozen pre-match forecast · #190214

ACV VS Dovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.96%
Draw
18.42%
Away
14.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1353
Log loss
1.6916

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 08:02 UTC
SHA-256
4394c6aec40aee422c62b5d199f482aa09c4c80689eb457633de017aa0c8d084

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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