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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19012

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf VS Oberwart

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.07%
Draw
33.40%
Away
38.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5682
Log loss
0.9537

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:00 UTC
SHA-256
eb6075c6f6aa7319a68debe05ca5863f6f787f578ee6190849ec8c0cf8327876

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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