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Frozen pre-match forecast · #190075

Roeselare Daisel VS Knokke

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 07:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.26%
Draw
22.86%
Away
21.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3002
Log loss
0.5930

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 07:03 UTC
SHA-256
bdfd6eb997c586610b906ecbca9be4f0e28f24e7efd47e3ecc7a7fe05ceee43c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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