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Frozen pre-match forecast · #189963

Povltava FA VS Příbram II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.16%
Draw
22.62%
Away
45.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4547
Log loss
0.7936

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
df571a8323fc70b4cb0c1af8b0bfaf30a65041c1a170afeadd6b60f6d58acd17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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