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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18985

Örebro SK W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.33%
Draw
32.78%
Away
38.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7724
Log loss
1.2612

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:00 UTC
SHA-256
a5d07dc725bd464a1e10d7929140876ea9954ba098f642d5924da99c7b1bf76c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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