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Frozen pre-match forecast · #189733

ASM Oran VS Sidi Benali

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.73%
Draw
20.70%
Away
10.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1124
Log loss
1.5750

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
19e025946ddbe8be6c4a37fc18388f0c49ae7881e68a90082b258de4452932b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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