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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18959

Kooteepee VS MP

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.20%
Draw
32.58%
Away
12.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7742
Log loss
1.1215

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
9b26d3f5f03d68ef3fe7a4d7319e5f0e4348392970d5372cefd359e5e7aa56b1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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