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Frozen pre-match forecast · #189344

Young Star VS Panthere Noir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.66%
Draw
27.73%
Away
38.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5671
Log loss
0.9517

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
ed2bed5bdf4560b6ef549e58b91416cd42918cfc20fa63614812ab8d246097ff

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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