Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #189179

Volos NFC VS Atromitos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.42%
Draw
26.08%
Away
38.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5717
Log loss
0.9545

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
f673d432c27f84ef687cae43a936e870d263ae37c5cffc9bb79a853fe4621fc8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →