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Frozen pre-match forecast · #189160

Al Taleea VS Al-Mudhaibi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 12:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.66%
Draw
24.22%
Away
32.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7100
Log loss
1.1357

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
00b2fff2de6aab1771852695e00ad2cb2b2bfa67e66ce805a04e3dd1afca8610

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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