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Frozen pre-match forecast · #188769

Goa VS SC Delhi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.86%
Draw
23.00%
Away
18.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9723
Log loss
1.4697

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
d8d641b0a0553a247d3162b3e0ef5bbac8ddd075fcb86dfa7513cb6d8997a68a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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