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Frozen pre-match forecast · #188407

NEC VS Ntugasaze

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.47%
Draw
18.35%
Away
7.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
dc4dc2700e26907c9f64fe9ecd62fa8629d4ce4fcf800018a76e305277bc3ea8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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