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Frozen pre-match forecast · #188346

FC Copenhagen VS Odense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.09%
Draw
18.60%
Away
13.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1440
Log loss
1.6819

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
661cec463d5e9e1f55fe5ac65a9ab1bc06fba5f4ddd935efbf90c0c341ed07b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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