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Frozen pre-match forecast · #188337

Viimsi VS Flora II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.49%
Draw
21.80%
Away
22.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9710
Log loss
1.5234

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
89608938ec5c06001e3ba2cfe53adc4bb779ed78e94790262b4b7c94f59a2c20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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