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Frozen pre-match forecast · #188086

PRO Vercelli VS Ospitaletto

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.98%
Draw
25.41%
Away
47.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8244
Log loss
1.3101

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
893245039f068691b3293ce14590726617674b165b5a0de346d405f6c92cdc8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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