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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187934

Leicester City WFC VS Southampton W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.93%
Draw
20.90%
Away
63.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0501
Log loss
1.5654

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
6ee144d7fa201e85df73c262c7e7a90d568971f8a8b28b7fae87db4310046a63

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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