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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187748

Diegem Sport VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.42%
Draw
23.70%
Away
37.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8733
Log loss
1.4398

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
4a0c14272bfc36c5d559f95a08727a598d4c5b4377df61321aaf8963fa38add0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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