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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187726

Dynamo Makhachkala II VS Angust Nazran

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.87%
Draw
28.40%
Away
35.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7690
Log loss
1.2588

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
a8ab6fb4cad4879a27840e22197978b607ca869b3d0b21089eb73301cccb73ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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