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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18772

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon VS Hapoel Sderot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:57 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.56%
Draw
33.23%
Away
38.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7667
Log loss
1.2531

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:57 UTC
SHA-256
ed45f77d370a05a1e8e9c257c5fffce58ceb9d7a8592d13fc928111a1511fad6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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