Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #187645

Millesimo VS Sanremese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.22%
Draw
27.26%
Away
30.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8005
Log loss
1.2996

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
67417aef93b76e1debe7a8227d9205f4aff7d787d0b893865fb4ba793dd20c32

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →