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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1876

Betim 2 VS Funorte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.63%
Draw
29.65%
Away
32.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5840
Log loss
0.9774

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
SHA-256
4728ff4d89c1b4084ee63ec0953e72888c8a38ec348b0e968373c1a333479d3b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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