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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187510

Kroměříž II VS SK Krumvir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.88%
Draw
23.86%
Away
51.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8841
Log loss
1.3912

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
32d30d97b204e2df93276344bbd844972e3e264940ef36beec1ef843c24116f8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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