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Frozen pre-match forecast · #187383

Torrent VS Acero

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.90%
Draw
24.78%
Away
15.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1373
Log loss
1.8760

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
62759c0465c1a0e8e558408041d67342fbb88c3673ecc63ec4683ad1dc1c24c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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