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Frozen pre-match forecast · #18735

Enugu Rangers VS Ranchers Bees

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:56 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.84%
Draw
39.74%
Away
21.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5778
Log loss
0.9456

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:56 UTC
SHA-256
8f1b6da48d8f9ba8b8a895fc3c9a0dc2e8325507c37702b7afaf2f7b9ad60f54

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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